Sunday, December 18, 2016

Valgforsker about statsrådbyttene: the – Sensational – VG

Bernt Aardal characterizing it as remarkable if innvandringskritiske Per Willy Amundsen in the same ministry that Sylvi Listhaug.

After the NTB experience, the ministry of justice and beredskapsminister Anders Anundsen be replaced by Per-Willy Amundsen, which today is the state secretary in the Ministry and moderniseringsdepartementet.

It means in this case that the Amundsen is one of two ministers in the ministry of Justice and public security. The other is immigration and integreringsminister Sylvi Listhaug.

VG has not confirmed that the Amundsen will take over the Anundsen as the ministry of justice and beredskapsminister. VG know not, therefore, whether this is the case.

DN writes that the plan could change before Tuesday’s council of state, when statsrådbyttene is expected to be presented.

That Per-Willy Amundsen to replace the Anundsen can be perceived quite critical in a number of other parties, especially in the Left Sector. He is a prolific innvandringskritiker, and when they already have Listhaug there, and in addition, the Amundsen, in the law enforcement agencies, there will be an intensification in favor of Frp. It looks startling when we see how contentious Listhaug is, says professor of political science Bernt Aardal at the University of Oslo.

<p>STATSRÅDAKTUELL: Per-Willy Amundsen. Frp landsmøte på Airport. </p>

STATSRÅDAKTUELL: Per-Willy Amundsen. Frp profile at Gardermoen.

Photo: Trond Solberg, VG

Surprisingly

He characterizes the booty of Anundsen and Tord Lien as “interesting and surprising”.

Both the Anundsen and the Lien has been among the gate in Frp, but often, it is the private or family reasons provided, and often this can be ridiculous.

NTB claims ministers should have wanted to go.

According to vg’s sources, Tord Lien have got a new job as head of the Nho’s regional office in Sør-Trøndelag.

NTB mean to know that Terje Søviknes is a new oil and energy minister after the Lien. Søviknes has no local process of political experience

– He also has the old story with the 16-year-old will be rolled up again and that can create turbulence. That they will take as heavy ministries, is a bit strange. I did not look away from that there will be other rokkeringer, and that it is these two ministries that the two new ones in that case takes over, ” says Aardal.

<p>STATSRÅDAKTUELL: Bob Søviknes. Frp landsmøte på Airport. </p>

STATSRÅDAKTUELL: Terje Søviknes. Frp profile at Gardermoen.

Photo: Trond Solberg, VG

– Controversy

– Søviknes is one that Siv Jensen has long wanted to get in leading positions in the party. Amundsen, on its side to become a controversial figure. He is the one who teases people. He is klimaskeptiker, and it is to be innvandringspolitisk spokesman for the progress party provides certain rhetorical commitments, and he succeeded well with. All that is about immigration and norskhet is an important dividing line for the conservative party that they want to run forward in the policy up to the parliamentary election, ” says Frithjof Jacobsen, head of School, kommentaravdeling.

Valgforsker Frank Aarebrot believe that the fear of the centre party is one of the reasons that the conservative party is supposed to make two ministerbytter to a week.

– the progress party are afraid that the centre party should take over as protestpartiet in the villages. The centre party says no to everything for the time, while the progress party will have to support the government’s side, says Aarebrot is professor of comparative politics at the University of Bergen.

This can be some of the cause to consider Søviknes as oil – and energy minister.

– Søviknes is a local politician, so he can take those votes.

Aarebrot is still surprised that Tord Lien goes as the oil – and energy minister.

– He has branded the party on a calm and nice way. And so, he is from the North of Norway. It is where oljekampen going on now.

That the Anundsen will have to go, is not as surprising, it seems valgforskeren. According to Aarebrot, he has been a little-clearly the minister of justice.

– He sends the secretary of state on difficult debates, rather than to get even. You must be present in the modern kommunikasjonssamfunnet. It has not been.

– Unusual

Neither the Anundsen, or the Lien is on the choice at next year’s general election. Aarebrot believe that this can be crucial that they be replaced.

– In some degree, it’s probably about it. The party would like to have active politicians with a certain credibility, which can continue in the government, should they win the election, says Aarebrot.

– It is slightly unclear whether the conservative party is doing this because Anundsen and the Lien is asked to go off, or if one inserts the two that you think represents the future for the next progress party government, believes Frithjof Jacobsen.

– It is said on the NTB that both the Lien and Anundsen want to provide themselves with politics, and that is the reason why the above-mentioned information. If true, there may be a point for the Right to insert any ministers who will be on. It can be a good idea to have ministers who do not have the future behind them.

Jacobsen, however, seems it is a strange time to replace the ministers.

– It is unusual to do this so shortly before a general election. I can’t remember has happened so often.

– Kvesser the popular profile

That Søviknes is chosen, is a sign that the battle for the government for next year will be on the west coast. It think Jan Ottesen, a former conservative party politician and currently the leader for government relations in kommunikasjonsbyrået Gambit.

– the parliamentary election will be about the oil crisis and the west coast. This is where the industry is located. By selecting Søviknes show the government that they will help them on its feet again.

Ottesen, take this also as a sign that the conservative party is not afraid to go in conflict.

– The kvesser the popular profile quite hard to select the Amundsen and Søviknes. They manage not just a hand to the Progress with selecting a Amundsen, who has had a prominent profile on immigration. But the progress party lost not on the polls in the aftermath of the budsjettkonflikten with the Left Sector.

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