To conclude two of the leading Russian scientists in an analysis of what happened when Norway and later Finland experienced a large influx of asylum seekers across the border in the north.
Unmanaged
in an article published in the journal Nordic quarterly Nordisk Østforum rejects senior researchers Arild Moe and Lars Rowe at the Fridtjof Nansen Institute theory that Russian authorities initiated asylantstrømmen in a desire to destabilize a Norway as part of a hybrid war.
– We does not take a position on what Russia does elsewhere. It is well documented that Russia operates hybrid warfare. But it is very unlikely that the flow of asylum seekers in the north was controlled by the authorities, says Arild Moe said.
See also: He saves lives – she should keep them away Norway
the same regime
FNI researchers find no evidence that the Russian border regime was changed just when the number of asylum seekers exploded on the well-controlled border. Over longer time Russia had liberalized border regime,
Rowe and Moe points out that the border guards of the FSB previously could stop travelers heading into the border zone out a number of criteria.
But rule changes in 2008 and 2012 meant that they could only make sure travelers have a valid identity card or passport. With valid passport and Russian visa was nothing in the way that a foreigner could travel to Nikel and take into hotels to travel further, says the paper.
Premature
Editor Thomas Nilsen the Independent BarentsObserver disagree with this conclusion.
– All of us who have traveled hundreds of times between Kirkenes and Murmansk know FSB border guards have steel control on who and how foreign nationals can travel in the border zone. They have at all times the possibility to stop third-country nationals without a Schengen visa that will walk into the border zone against Norway, says Nilsen said.
He believes article from Russia scientists are exciting, but they go hasty conclusions about the FSB’s role.
Finnish parallel
during the four to five hectic months came the 5,500 asylum seekers to Norway over Storskog, while almost no one took over to Finland. This was several interpreted as meaning that the Russian authorities were out to punish all NATO member Norway, and that there was a stricter regime on the border between Russia and Finland.
Arild Moe and Lars Rowe believes the similarities between Norway and Finland is much more striking than the differences. After the power to Norway took a sudden end in December, the opposite happened across the border into Finland who received 1,000 asylum seekers in a month.
– In Finland arose discussions with the opposite sign, which it was claimed that Finland was more vulnerable, since the country is not a NATO member, says Moe said.
Russian desire
He stressed that both the Norwegian and Finnish side had exaggerated ideas about how strictly the Russian border regime. Both Norway and Finland expected that Russia would stop migrants without visas to Norway or Finland.
– They had a general misconception of how strictly the Russian regime. Norwegian and Finnish authorities acted in good faith. They believed that the Russians would stop people who had visas, says Arild Moe.
The turning point came when Norway tightened up the wording of the letter that was given to people without visas at the border, and warned faster dispatch of unfounded asylum seekers. According to Moe and Rowe Norway satisfied when a Russian desire for a more restrictive practices that gave them the protection to stop asylum flow.
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