Saturday, May 9, 2015

6 graphs showing that the Green Party can make a bump choice – Aftenposten

There’s a party in downwind which opens its annual convention in Stavanger Friday. In 2013 received the Green Party’s first national breakthrough when Rasmus Hansson was elected in Parliament.

Test: Are you green enough for the Greens?

In the fall, Norwegian municipal councils is next in line. Here are six graphs that underpin this:

1. Clear progress over time

In January 2012, the Green Party (MDGs) a separate answer option in Aftenposten monthly polls of Response. In subsequent years, this party has experienced a marked improvement.

On the last poll from April 2015 the party was over the threshold of 4.4 per cent – for the first time since brackets poll in August 2013 when MDG achieved as much as 5.2 percent.

2. Consistently good results over the past year

Election researcher Bernt Aardal presents each month an average of all the national polls for each party on its website.

The graph for MDGs shows that the party has had a monthly average of over 3 percent each month over the last year.

So is the party far over the result from the previous municipal elections in 2011 (0.9 percent) and slightly over parliamentary election results from 2013 (2.8 percent).

In most opinion polls that have been made to reach voters are asked how they will vote if there were elections tomorrow. Whether there will be any change in the answers when voters are asked how they will vote in a municipal election is uncertain.



3. Has had a strong in membership

The Grønnes membership numbers has been more than 20-fold since 2007. As of May 1, 2015 MDG approximately 7,000 members, according to the party’s own figures.

There are still far ahead of the main parties that Labor (56,000 members) and Right (33,000 members), but none of the parliamentary parties can point to an equally powerful in membership that MDG.

4. MDG is a Lilliputian in Kommune Norway

MDG is the party in Parliament who was elected clear fewest municipal councilors after the 2011 election, only 18 in total.

The only two municipalities where MDG received more than one representative, the Nesodden and Trondheim. The party also has four representatives in the district councils in Oslo.

In 2011, the Greens, according to General Lars Gaupset, got some more representatives on municipal councils by politicians from other parties have skipped the MDG, but MDG’s still a junior in the municipalities.

With the good polls the party has experienced in the past year, the potential for growth in the number of municipal councilors after the autumn election be large.

5. Ballots in several municipalities

MDGs chances to make a good municipal elections also increases sharply because the party sets with lists in more municipalities than they did at the previous local elections in 2011. This year you can vote MDG in 205 municipalities – 150 more than in the 2011 elections.

On the Green Office drank party officials and politicians with eco-cava when the deadline for submitting the lists went out on March 30 and the new list figures were made public.

6. MDG ending up in the rocker in Oslo

In Aftenposten last poll in England from April got MDG 6.5 percent and was higher than FRP. Green Party could end up on the rocker between the red and the blue block in the main state and Aps Governing Mayor candidate delivered before Labor congress glibly to the Greens.

– We are going to pursue an environmental boost by focusing on public transport , bicycle and walking trails and do something about the serious air pollution. These are issues I think MDG will find interesting, said Johansen said.

Also in several other large cities look the Greens appear to make a strong choice.

Published: 09.mai. 2015 09:53

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