Tuesday, March 31, 2015

Bottom Record for FRP in March – Dagsavisen

Since Poll of polls started their calculations in January 2008, FRP never had an average of 10 century. Before now. The incision of nine national polls in March, giving the party a participation of 10.4 percent.

There is a decline of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month. FRP has fallen continuously since the state budget was presented last fall, when the party was measured just over 14 percent.



Right-progress

Government Partner Right experienced at his side an inflow in March. The turnout increased by 1.5 percentage points to 22.8 percent, but still is Right 4 percentage points below the level before the state budget was submitted last fall.

Overall achieves Conservatives and Progress 33 2 percent support, which would have given 60 seats in parliament if the March incision had been choice. Altogether 17 representatives would have had to leave Parliament with such a result.



Over four in ten

On the other side of the halfway line is Labor stable at its new high level. A decline of 0.5 percentage points from February nevertheless gives an average of 41.4 percent.

Labor looks 40s in eight of nine polls that were recorded in March.

It is the fifth consecutive month where more than four out of ten voters gather on Labor.

Labor would get one parliamentary 75 mandates with such figures in an election. There are 15 more than the Conservatives and the Progress Party together.



Since 2009

For the other parties there are only small changes from February to March but still with some interesting effects.

KrF increases by 0.2 percentage points to 5.5 percent. It is the party’s strongest month since last November – but perhaps more importantly, the third strongest month since October 2009.

Center increases with modest 0.1 percentage point to 5.8 percent. There is still enough that in March 2015 Sps strongest month since September 2009.

Left falls by 0.3 percentage points to 5.5 percent. It is the weakest Liberal incision in any month since June 2013.



Ap + KrF = true?

Distributed on number of seats would Nydalen -kvartetten with government parties and the support portions KrF and Left gained 78 seats in parliament if the March incision had been choice. There are 18 fewer than the four achieved at the 2013 election, and seven representatives less than what is needed to secure a majority.

On the other side would the coalition coalition with Labor, SV and the Center received 88 mandates and plural.

But also a hypothetical case where KrF switching sides could lead to government power Jonas Gahr Støre. Labor and KrF would total had 85 mandates with March figures behind them.

The Greens went back 0.3 percentage points, but retains its two mandates from February. Red is built with one mandate with a participation of 1.5 percent in March. (NTB)

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