Thursday, April 16, 2015

Ap go on a blow to the new poll – Aftenposten

The same day as Jonas Gahr Støre went on the podium and held his first inaugural address as leader of the Labour Party, presents Aftenposten a completely fresh poll recorded Monday to Wednesday this week.

The numbers are very bad news for Støre Labor: Party goes back a total of 4.8 percentage points.

– figures may indicate that there is a break for Labor. It is the second or third measurement in a row that shows such a tendency, says Prime Minister Erna Solberg telephone from Vietnam.

Response: Could not expect to be in the 40s

In response measurement made Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and Adresseavisen, lands Labor of 37.3 percent, after four consecutive months with a participation of 40 percent.

Thore Gaard Olaussen, CEO of Response, told Aftenposten that the decline is so large that the change is significant.

– Labor is enough at a lower level now than they were in the winter. But it is not surprising. Labor could not expect that there would be in the 40s so long, it is historically very high, he points out.



Minister: – Taking this with great serenity

Chief himself in Labor Jonas Gahr Støre, taking modest about the meaning measured sharp stop with great tranquility.

Two hours before he went to the rostrum to hold its first ordinary party leader speech, says Støre that Labor does not take the many 40th century measurements for granted .

– Today I commented two measurements over 40 – and your now slightly below. It’s still very loud. Although there is a marked change, I take this with great serenity, says Gahr Støre.



Both government parties proceed

Right proceed 3.9 percentage points, thus back on level they had before they got the big frying in connection with the draft budget in the fall.

– The loyalty of those who voted on Right at last election, is higher now than it has been in the polls in the winter, explains Olaussen in response.

Also Progress can note an improvement of 1.4 percentage points after a weak March measurement.

Government cooperation parties KrF and Liberals both slightly back.

Solberg: Can indicate a break for Labor

– This is a nice measure of Conservative Prime Minister Solberg.

– Do you think it has a meaning that the four socialist parties have put in place an agreement on asylum children?

– We had readings before this also showed an improvement. But it helps that we get peace around some difficult cases. I think people now see that our policies emerge more clearly: investment in knowledge, road projects and health, says Solberg.

– Do you pity Minister who must start the congress his with such a measurement downturn?

– I want faithful have had thought it was a good election result, if he ended on such numbers.

– Labor and Minister is the last time been accused of being vague about where they stand on important issues, do you think this is some of the reason why they go back?

– I think at least the voters expect clear answers as to what Labor thinks about the major modernization reforms and restructuring challenges in Norwegian industry. It’s okay to have a seminar going over what to think, but it has a deadline, says Solberg.



MDG on rocker

A change leading to large rotations in the number of mandates is that the Green Party (MDGs) is 4.4 percent and is above the threshold for the first time on a response measurement since parliamentary elections in autumn 2013.

With the result of Response fresh measurement party would both gotten into the whole seven representatives in Parliament, against current one.

They would also landed on the rocker between the bourgeois and the coalition block.

Fewer sitting on the fence

Transition figures show that there are so many who have left Labor since March poll, but Right reacquires voters who last month sat on the fence, or had been tempted by Minister. When voters last month has decided – and enters the math on the Conservative side are Aps share of the pie smaller.

This graph shows how loyal Ap- and Conservative voters have been since the election. Where Labor has taken between 80 and 90 percent of voters in 2013, the proportion of Conservative voters fell steadily until a solid boost now in April.

In March said 13.5 and 15.7 percent of voters respectively Conservatives and the Progress Party that they would have been Ap. In April poll numbers are 7.3 and 3.8.

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Published: 16.apr. 2015 5:57 p.m.

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