Monday, October 3, 2016

Downer for Reed – TV 2

a Few days before finance minister Siv Jensen (Frp) put forward the state budget for 2017 is the party’s approval rating is at the same level as it was last fall.

the Progress party, will receive only 12,8% attendance of oktobermålingen Side TNS have a made-for-TV 2.

– This is not a nice measurement, but the progress party has had many excellent readings in the past. It is not the measurements that determine, but the election results next fall, ” says party leader Siv Jensen.

Bakgrunnstallene shows that many former progress party voters have sat on the fence for a period of time where there has been disagreement between the parties on the civil side.

I think all experience suggests that when there is peace and good cooperation between the non-socialist parties so we get better off all the good stuff we deliver, ” says Jensen.

The largest ruling party, Right, gets an approval rating of 27.1 percent, which is over the election results from 2013.

Småpartier in trouble

the Poll shows that more of the småpartiene in Parliament to struggle with such low attendance that they are in real danger of falling under the so-called sperregrensa that determines who will take part in the distribution of the 19 utjevningsmandatene.

the Christian democratic Party, which in september fell below the climbs again over the line with the 4.7 (+ 1,0), but has a lower share of loyal voters than any other parties.

the Left goes back by 0.6 to 4.3 per cent, while the SV is at a standstill with 4.2 per cent of those asked in the back.

the centre party, which in september saw its highest attendance since the parliamentary election goes down 1.4 percentage points to 6.0.

the Long road to power

the Labour party going the most up 1.3 percentage points to 34.9 per cent. But the road to power may still be long for the Ap leader Jonas Gahr Støre.

Mandatberegningene to the TV 2 displays the fact that it asks the majority of the four parties in the non-socialist side that works in the day. The four would by a choice today received 86 mandates. It needed 85 to get the plural.

If the Progress change page, will Store with the support from the KrF leader Knut Arild Hareide, and the Norwegian centre party collect the 82 mandates. Thus, they still rely on support from SW.

The three present coalition parties that ruled Norway in 2005 – 2013 get 81 mandates. with support from The Green and red are missing there are still two mandates in the plural.

Miljøpartiet De Green get a support level of 2.4% (+ 0,3), while Red gets to 1.9 in september. Other parties and lists get this time, the whole 1.9 per cent. The largest grouping here is Pensjonistpartiet. Also the party of The Christians, Piratåpartiet and NKP is registered with the turnout.

About the poll

the Measurement is made by Side TNS (previously TNS Gallup for TV 2 with personal interviews of the 974 eligible to vote. 72.8 percent of the respondents reported partipreferanse, the 5.7 percentage point lower than in september. The poll has a margin of error on the +/- 1,4 – 2,8 percentage points.

the Mandates are distributed with the help of TV 2s mandatprognose. Only parties that get to manage the so-called threshold of 4.0 is included in the allocation of the 19 utjevningsmandatene. There are 169 representatives in Parliament.

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