Report: – Labor has the most to gain more immigrants votes – NRK

Electors with immigrant backgrounds use their voting rights less frequently than the majority population. How would the election results have appeared if they had equally high turnout as the rest?

– This is a very speculative analysis, for this has not been done. We also assume that those immigrants who do not vote, vote the same as those who vote, said SSB researcher Øyvin Kleven, who presented the figures under Arendalsuka Thursday.

Ap could be greatest in Oslo

He believes that SSB analysis gives a good idea. In the report the the starting point in the parliamentary elections in 2013 and local elections in Oslo in 2011.

The Facts About SSB survey

• The survey was partly funded by the Norwegian People’s Aid.
• The aim is to find answers to what had happened with the party distribution in the Norwegian election if the turnout was about the same among voters with and without immigrant backgrounds.
• SSB has used sample surveys among voters and aggregated data for municipal elections in Oslo.
• Parti distribution among immigrants is based on small sample surveys conducted by Statistics Norway in 2011 and 2013.
• Researchers At both elections interviewed 750 people with immigrant backgrounds. Approximately 670 stated which party they voted for.
• For Oslo analysis have they interviewed 250 people with immigrant backgrounds.
• SSB notes that the number of people in these sample surveys are less than what they normally basing his analysis on. Thus, they can not take into account other relevant information such as age, occupation, length of residence in Norway, etc.

For the general election is the impact small.

But in Oslo, where almost a third of choosing an immigrant background show SSB calculations that Labor would possibly gone forward by 1.8 percentage points and taken the title as the biggest party in the capital. Right’d gone back about 1.5 percentage points if the immigrants voted for equal footing with other voters.

– But this would hardly have led to another city commissioner in Oslo, says SSB researcher Øyvin Kleven.

The reason is that the additional “immigrant vote” only make up 27 000 more votes in SSB calculation for Oslo-election.

Under 14 percent voted Right

Although increased voter participation among immigrants in Oslo had not turned the political landscape in the capital at the head, the figures indicate that left side may have much to gain that more immigrants are using their voting rights.

In 2011, Ap overall 33.1 percent of the vote in Oslo, while the Conservatives got 35.7.

But if one only looks at the votes of Norwegian citizens with immigrant background, Ap far the largest party. According to Statistics Norway’s surveys voiced 65.7 percent of voters with immigrant backgrounds Labor in 2011. Only 13.5 percent of them voted for the Conservatives.

Claims council does not do enough

According Tone Tellevik Dahl, ordførerkandidat in Oslo has not bourgeois council done enough to raise voter turnout among immigrants.

– It is a democratic problem if a group in the population have lower turnout than others, she said during the panel discussion in Arendal.

Nicholas Wilkinson, leader of the Socialist Youth, among other things demand more choices stalls in neighborhoods with many immigrants, and buses that travel around and give people the chance to advance to where they live.

– In Oslo scandalous how little the city council doing to increase chooses the proportion of immigrants, said SU leader in the debate.

Jawad Azadmehr, standing for election for the Conservatives in Oslo, sees no need for targeted initiatives to get more immigrants to vote.

– We do not arrange everything for everyone, it we have is good enough, he responded to criticism.